Politics

We’re in an era where the people most likely to respond to a poll are also the most likely to vote Democratic for president. Pew Research Center’s head methodologist Courtney Kennedy explains how pollsters are tackling this challenge to make samples as representative as possible. The post Video: Why have polls underestimated Donald Trump? appeared…

Few Americans say God chooses presidential election winners because of their policies. Most U.S. Christians say that “good Christians” do not need to take a particular view on Trump. The post Most Americans Don’t Believe God Played a Role in Recent Presidential Election Outcomes appeared first on Pew Research Center.

President Donald Trump’s recent pledge to end mail-in voting comes as a 58% majority of Americans favor allowing any voter to cast their ballot by mail. The post Majority of Americans Continue to Back Expanded Early Voting, Voting by Mail, Voter ID appeared first on Pew Research Center.

The composition of Republican and Democratic voters in the United States has changed since the 2020 presidential election, and the shifts have been even larger since the 2016 contest. Donald Trump’s voters overall were more racially and ethnically diverse in 2024 than in his prior campaigns, reflecting gains among Hispanic, Black and Asian voters. Conversely,…

Because partisanship and voting preference are highly correlated – and most adults stick with their preferred party over time – voter turnout is often a key factor in understanding why there are changes in electoral outcomes year to year. In the 2024 presidential election, a higher share of Donald Trump’s 2020 voters than Joe Biden’s…

For the most part, voting patterns across demographic groups in the 2024 presidential election were not substantially different from the 2020 and 2016 elections. But Donald Trump’s gains among several key groups of voters proved decisive in his 2024 victory. To explore voting patterns among subgroups over time, refer to detailed tables. Hispanic voters were…

Pew Research Center’s in-depth study of its survey respondents who voted in the 2024 election examines turnout, voting patterns and demographics. The post Behind Trump’s 2024 Victory, a More Racially and Ethnically Diverse Voter Coalition appeared first on Pew Research Center.