Election Information

After Minneapolis, Can Trump’s Law-And-Order Strategy Work?

When President Trump delivered his inaugural address in 2017, it was in an unfamiliar style. Gone was the jokey off-handedness of Trump-on-the-trail. In a stilted, elegiac tone the freshly-minted president spoke of “rusted-out factories scattered like tombstones” and “young and beautiful students deprived of knowledge.” The content of the speech was familiar, though: Trump would…

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How Accurate Are State Polls? And What Could That Mean For November?

Our latest recap of the accuracy of polling in American elections reinforced something we’ve been saying for a while: The polls are all right. In particular, polls of presidential general elections have historically been quite accurate. Polls conducted in the final 21 days before the last five presidential general elections had a weighted average error…

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The Gap Between Democrats And Republicans Is Growing On The Coronavirus Crisis

Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. Poll(s) of the week When it comes to the coronavirus pandemic, one of the storylines we’ve been following is the growing gap between how Democrats and Republicans view the crisis. The most obvious divide until this point has been largely political: that is, how Democrats and Republicans view…

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How Bad Is The COVID-19 Misinformation Epidemic?

The COVID-19 pandemic has been equally defined by how much we don’t know as how much we do. That vacuum has been quickly filled with bullshit. The United Nations secretary-general has warned we’re living through “a pandemic of misinformation,” and the head of the World Health Organization said it’s an “infodemic.” In the midst of…

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